Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Mark Lamb
Volume n/a
87.5%
—
Travis Grantham
Volume n/a
7.0%
—
Jay Feely
$41K volume
5.4%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 4, 2026 (3mo)Updated 12d ago
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner". Mark Lamb is leading at 87.5%. The next most likely outcome is Travis Grantham at 7.0%. Total volume is $41K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Mark Lamb
87.5%
Total Vol
$41K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner". Mark Lamb is leading at 87.5%. The next most likely outcome is Travis Grantham at 7.0%. Total volume is $41K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Aug 4, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3790h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3790h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Here’s who President Trump is now supporting in Arizona’s CD1 race - AZ Family
AZ Family·92d ago·neutral
Trump endorses 2 candidates in CD-1 Republican primary - KTAR News 92.3 FM
KTAR News 92.3 FM·92d ago·neutral
9 key Arizona election races to watch in 2026: Governor up for grabs - Phoenix New Times
Phoenix New Times·93d ago·neutral
The Arizona storylines to follow in 2026 - Axios
Axios·93d ago·neutral
Mark Lamb wins coveted Trump endorsement in Arizona's 5th Congressional District - KJZZ
KJZZ·155d ago·bullish
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