Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
BNP 9%+
$60K volume
100.0%
—
Other
$34K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Feb 12, 2026 (Ended)Updated 12d ago
Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory
Live prediction market odds for "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory". BNP 9%+ is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Other at 0.1%. Total volume is $124K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 12, 2026.
Leading Outcome
BNP 9%+
100.0%
Total Vol
$124K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory". BNP 9%+ is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Other at 0.1%. Total volume is $124K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Feb 12, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Feb 12, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
59%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.123 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
59%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
59%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1195h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
59%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1195h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Opinion | India's Northeast Has A New Problem - 'Jamaat' Surge Along Bangladesh Border - NDTV
NDTV·46d ago·bullish
Opinion | Bangladesh’s BNP could struggle to enact reforms despite election win - South China Morning Post
South China Morning Post·47d ago·neutral
After Election, Jamaat Moves From the Margins to the Opposition in Bangladesh - The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine
The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine·48d ago·neutral
How Jamaat’s rise on Bangladesh border heightens India’s eastern frontier risks - Firstpost
Firstpost·48d ago·neutral
Voter turnout in the capital: Lowest 37.42pc, highest 48.75pc - Prothom Alo English
Prothom Alo English·49d ago·neutral
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