Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Maintains rate
$18K volume
95.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$6K volume
4.0%
—
Cut 25bps
$6K volume
2.0%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 29, 2026 (23d)Updated 9m ago
Bank of Canada decision in Apr 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Bank of Canada decision in Apr 2026?". Maintains rate is leading at 95.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25bps at 4.0%. Total volume is $37K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 29, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Maintains rate
95.0%
Total Vol
$37K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Bank of Canada decision in Apr 2026?". Maintains rate is leading at 95.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25bps at 4.0%. Total volume is $37K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 29, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 29, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.054 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
177h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
177h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Bank of Canada Faces Dilemma in Response to War-Fueled Energy-Price Surge, Minutes Say - WSJ
WSJ·4d ago·bullish
Bank of Canada relying on 'judgment' to steer policy rate through Iran war shock - CTV News
CTV News·4d ago·neutral
Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of March 18, 2026 - Bank of Canada
Bank of Canada·4d ago·neutral
Bank of Canada relying on 'judgment' to steer policy rate through Iran war shock
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
Bank of Canada says it will rely on judgment more than usual for rate decisions
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
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