Home🏛️PoliticsCalifornia Governor primary first place candidate?
Live marketEnds Jun 2, 2027 (1y 57d)Updated 6m ago

California Governor primary first place candidate?

Live prediction market odds for "California Governor primary first place candidate?". Eric Swalwell is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Steve Hilton at 36.0%. Total volume is $40K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 2, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Eric Swalwell
49.0%
Total Vol
$40K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Eric Swalwell
$14K volume
49.0%
Steve Hilton
$7K volume
36.0%
Tom Steyer
$6K volume
13.0%
Chad Bianco
$5K volume
11.0%
Katie Porter
$3K volume
8.0%
Xavier Becerra
$1 volume
5.0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$1 volume
5.0%
Matt Mahan
$5K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "California Governor primary first place candidate?". Eric Swalwell is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Steve Hilton at 36.0%. Total volume is $40K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 2, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jun 2, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
114h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
114h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories