Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
PP
$238K volume
100.0%
—
PSOE
$133K volume
0.1%
—
VOX
$83K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 15, 2026 (Ended)Updated 20d ago
Castilla y Leon Regional Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Castilla y Leon Regional Election Winner". PP is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is PSOE at 0.1%. Total volume is $453K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
PP
100.0%
Total Vol
$453K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Castilla y Leon Regional Election Winner". PP is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is PSOE at 0.1%. Total volume is $453K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bearishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
67%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.241 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
476h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
67%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
476h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
General election poll: Vox loses half a million votes and Alvise (SALF) pressures, PP rises and PSOE cuts, according to Target Point - democrata.es
democrata.es·7d ago·bearish
Internal divisions and election defeat threaten PACMA's survival - russpain.com
russpain.com·13d ago·neutral
Election results of Castilla y León 2026: seats, vote and complete territorial radiography party by party - democrata.es
democrata.es·13d ago·neutral
Poll Accuracy Rankings in the Castilla y León Elections - russpain.com
russpain.com·18d ago·neutral
Sánchez’s Communist Turn Is Devouring the Entire Far Left - The European Conservative
The European Conservative·19d ago·neutral
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