Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before July 2026
$20K volume
8.0%
—
Before Nov 3, 2026
$23K volume
6.0%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 1h ago
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
Live prediction market odds for "Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?". Before July 2026 is leading at 8.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Nov 3, 2026 at 6.0%. Total volume is $158K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before July 2026
8.0%
Total Vol
$158K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?". Before July 2026 is leading at 8.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Nov 3, 2026 at 6.0%. Total volume is $158K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
69h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
69h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Sen. Chuck Schumer Threatens To Block Voter ID Bill, Drawing Hypocrisy Accusations
Bing News·16h ago·neutral
Chuck Schumer is 'SCARED to DEATH' of his 'Marxist' base - Fox News
Fox News·17h ago·neutral
US Senate minority leader slams Trump's 2027 budget request - Anadolu Ajansı
Anadolu Ajansı·2d ago·neutral
New poll: Majority of Democrats say own party lacks right priorities in Congress - Baltimore Sun
Baltimore Sun·2d ago·neutral
Schumer Faces Falling Approval in New York Ahead of 2028 Senate Race - nationaltoday.com
nationaltoday.com·2d ago·neutral
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