Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December 31, 2026
$2K volume
11.0%
—
June 30, 2026
$123K volume
3.8%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 31, 2026 (Ended)Updated 14m ago
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 11.0%. The next most likely outcome is June 30, 2026 at 3.8%. Total volume is $168K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
December 31, 2026
11.0%
Total Vol
$168K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 11.0%. The next most likely outcome is June 30, 2026 at 3.8%. Total volume is $168K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jan 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
171h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
171h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Mexican President Sheinbaum Says She Will Uphold Cuban Doctor Agreement as Other Countries Dip Out - Periódico Digital Centroamericano y del Caribe
Periódico Digital Centroamericano y del Caribe·2d ago·neutral
Approval Tracker: Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum - AS/COA
AS/COA·4d ago·neutral
World Cup: Sheinbaum meets with FIFA president following Mexico-Portugal ‘trial’ match - Mexico News Daily
Mexico News Daily·6d ago·neutral
President Sheinbaum defends Mexico's right to supply oil to Cuba - Reuters
Reuters·6d ago·neutral
Mexico Pressures U.S. Over Deaths of Its Citizens in ICE Custody - The New York Times
The New York Times·6d ago·neutral
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