Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Wisconsin
$3K volume
17.0%
—
Georgia
$3K volume
16.0%
—
Iowa
$3K volume
12.0%
—
Michigan
$2K volume
9.0%
—
Arizona
$2K volume
8.0%
—
Nevada
$2K volume
8.0%
—
Ohio
$3K volume
8.0%
—
Kansas
$245 volume
4.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2027 (9mo)Updated 7m ago
Closest Governor race in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Closest Governor race in 2026?". Wisconsin is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Georgia at 16.0%. Total volume is $30K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Wisconsin
17.0%
Total Vol
$30K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Closest Governor race in 2026?". Wisconsin is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Georgia at 16.0%. Total volume is $30K across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Related Politics Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 24.1% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $985.6M
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Lead 49.0% · Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0x0b17bd)
Vol $522.3M
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Lead 17.6% · JD Vance
Vol $492.6M
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Lead 28.7% · Gavin Newsom
Vol $81.3M
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Lead 69.0% · TISZA
Vol $57.4M
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Lead 65.5% · Péter Magyar
Vol $47.3M