Home🏛️PoliticsColombia Presidential Election
Live marketEnds Jun 21, 2026 (2mo)Updated 4m ago

Colombia Presidential Election

Live prediction market odds for "Colombia Presidential Election". Candidate M is leading at 49.5%. The next most likely outcome is Iván Cepeda Castro at 44.5%. Total volume is $12.6M across 16 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 21, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Candidate M
49.5%
Total Vol
$12.6M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Candidate M
Volume n/a
49.5%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$462K volume
44.5%
Paloma Valencia
$569K volume
39.5%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$569K volume
15.0%
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$1.3M volume
0.5%
Carlos Felipe Córdoba
$96K volume
0.4%
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$560K volume
0.3%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$1.2M volume
0.3%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Colombia Presidential Election". Candidate M is leading at 49.5%. The next most likely outcome is Iván Cepeda Castro at 44.5%. Total volume is $12.6M across 16 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 21, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jun 21, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.015 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
298h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
298h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories