Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 200,000
$452 volume
91.0%
—
Above 300,000
$2K volume
79.0%
—
Above 400,000
$3K volume
43.0%
—
Above 500,000
$5K volume
12.0%
—
Above 600,000
$2K volume
10.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 11m ago
Deportations in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Deportations in 2026?". Above 200,000 is leading at 91.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 300,000 at 79.0%. Total volume is $13K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Above 200,000
91.0%
Total Vol
$13K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Deportations in 2026?". Above 200,000 is leading at 91.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 300,000 at 79.0%. Total volume is $13K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
75h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
75h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump Wants to Make Deportation Deals. Autocrats Are Ready to Listen. - The New York Times
The New York Times·1d ago·neutral
Half of those arrested by federal agents in Minnesota this winter have already been deported - mprnews.org
mprnews.org·2d ago·neutral
Congo in talks with US over third-country deportations, sources say - Reuters
Reuters·2d ago·neutral
U.S.-Mexico Border Update: Migration data, DHS shutdown and new management, abuses in ICE custody, border walls - Washington Office on Latin America | WOLA
Washington Office on Latin America | WOLA·2d ago·neutral
Immigrants seeking asylum are ordered to countries they’ve never been to, but end up stuck in limbo
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
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