Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before January 20, 2029
$335K volume
40.4%
—
Before 2028
$474K volume
30.2%
—
Before 2027
$3.6M volume
15.4%
—
Before August 1, 2026
$1.1M volume
8.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 20, 2029 (2y 290d)Updated 3m ago
Donald Trump out as President?
Live prediction market odds for "Donald Trump out as President?". Before January 20, 2029 is leading at 40.4%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2028 at 30.2%. Total volume is $6.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Leading Outcome
Before January 20, 2029
40.4%
Total Vol
$6.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Donald Trump out as President?". Before January 20, 2029 is leading at 40.4%. The next most likely outcome is Before 2028 at 30.2%. Total volume is $6.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 20, 2029.
Expected resolution date: Jan 20, 2029.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump threatens strikes on Iranian power plants and bridges over Hormuz - NewsNation
NewsNation·33m ago·neutral
Trump Seems Emboldened With New Threats in Truth Social Post Over Strait of Hormuz - The New York Times
The New York Times·45m ago·neutral
Trump unleashes curse-filled social media rant at Iran after U.S. rescues colonel - NPR
NPR·1h ago·neutral
‘Safe and sound’: How a U.S. Airman Shot Down in Iran Was Rescued From a Mountain Crevice - time.com
time.com·1h ago·neutral
Times Opinion: Trump library looks more like an ego tower than a museum, even by Miami standards - Chattanooga Times Free Press
Chattanooga Times Free Press·1h ago·neutral
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