Home🏛️PoliticsFlorida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Live marketEnds Aug 18, 2026 (4mo)Updated 8m ago

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Alexander Vindman is leading at 88.9%. The next most likely outcome is Jared Moskowitz at 4.5%. Total volume is $105K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Alexander Vindman
88.9%
Total Vol
$105K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Alexander Vindman
$33K volume
88.9%
Jared Moskowitz
$49K volume
4.5%
Josh Weil
$5K volume
1.1%
Jennifer Jenkins
$16K volume
0.8%
Angie Nixon
Volume n/a
0.4%
Charlie Crist
Volume n/a
0.3%
Alan Grayson
Volume n/a
0.3%
Joey Atkins
$2K volume
0.3%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Alexander Vindman is leading at 88.9%. The next most likely outcome is Jared Moskowitz at 4.5%. Total volume is $105K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 18, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.001 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
222h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
222h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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