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Live marketEnds Aug 18, 2026 (4mo)Updated 9m ago

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner". Byron Donalds is leading at 90.0%. The next most likely outcome is James Fishback at 6.0%. Total volume is $1.2M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Byron Donalds
90.0%
Total Vol
$1.2M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Byron Donalds
$87K volume
90.0%
James Fishback
$304K volume
6.0%
Jay Collins
$616K volume
1.6%
Casey DeSantis
$171K volume
0.4%
Jimmy Patronis
$27K volume
0.1%
Matt Gaetz
$22K volume
0.1%
Wilton Simpson
$15K volume
0.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner". Byron Donalds is leading at 90.0%. The next most likely outcome is James Fishback at 6.0%. Total volume is $1.2M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 18, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 18, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.009 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
88h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
88h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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