Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
At least 440
$2K volume
93.0%
—
At least 445
$1K volume
39.0%
—
At least 450
$2K volume
24.0%
—
At least 455
$640 volume
13.0%
—
At least 460
$1K volume
3.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2030 (3y 271d)Updated 14m ago
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
Live prediction market odds for "How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?". At least 440 is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 445 at 39.0%. Total volume is $6K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.
Leading Outcome
At least 440
93.0%
Total Vol
$6K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?". At least 440 is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 445 at 39.0%. Total volume is $6K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2030.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2030.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
950h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
950h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
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Kalshi: 50x on Greenland Bet + 5 More Top Picks - StartupHub.ai
StartupHub.ai·14d ago·neutral
Kalshi: 50x on Greenland Bet + 7 More Top Picks - StartupHub.ai
StartupHub.ai·15d ago·neutral
Climate change mitigation: reducing emissions - European Environment Agency (EEA)
European Environment Agency (EEA)·18d ago·neutral
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