Live prediction market odds for "How long will the government shutdown last?". At least 50 days is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 55 days at 95.0%. Total volume is $14.8M across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Live prediction market odds for "How long will the government shutdown last?". At least 50 days is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 55 days at 95.0%. Total volume is $14.8M across 14 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
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Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.