Home🏛️PoliticsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Live marketEnds Jan 21, 2029 (2y 291d)Updated 8m ago

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

Live prediction market odds for "How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?". Above 800 is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Between 350 and 399 at 12.0%. Total volume is $36K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 21, 2029.

Leading Outcome
Above 800
17.0%
Total Vol
$36K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 800
$6K volume
17.0%
Between 350 and 399
$2K volume
12.0%
Between 750 and 800
$859 volume
11.0%
Below 300
$8K volume
10.0%
Between 450 and 499
$2K volume
9.0%
Between 400 and 449
$3K volume
7.0%
Between 600 and 649
$2K volume
7.0%
Between 500 and 549
$2K volume
6.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?". Above 800 is leading at 17.0%. The next most likely outcome is Between 350 and 399 at 12.0%. Total volume is $36K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 21, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 21, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
786h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
786h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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