Home🏛️PoliticsHow many federal agencies will Trump cut?
Live marketEnds Jul 4, 2026 (2mo)Updated 10m ago

How many federal agencies will Trump cut?

Live prediction market odds for "How many federal agencies will Trump cut?". More than 10 is leading at 13.0%. The next most likely outcome is More than 5 at 13.0%. Total volume is $63K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
More than 10
13.0%
Total Vol
$63K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
More than 10
$17K volume
13.0%
More than 5
$19K volume
13.0%
More than 20
$10K volume
7.0%
More than 30
$5K volume
3.0%
More than 100
$6K volume
3.0%
More than 50
$4K volume
2.0%
More than 200
$586 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many federal agencies will Trump cut?". More than 10 is leading at 13.0%. The next most likely outcome is More than 5 at 13.0%. Total volume is $63K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jul 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.101 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
50%
Median Age
66h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
50%
Median Age
66h
Avg Sentiment
-0.125
Neutral %
50%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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