Home🏛️PoliticsHow many government employees will Trump cut?
Live marketEnds Mar 4, 2027 (11mo)Updated 10m ago

How many government employees will Trump cut?

Live prediction market odds for "How many government employees will Trump cut?". More than 50,000 is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is More than 100,000 at 54.0%. Total volume is $5K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 4, 2027.

Leading Outcome
More than 50,000
93.0%
Total Vol
$5K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
More than 50,000
$3K volume
93.0%
More than 100,000
$2K volume
54.0%
More than 150,000
$185 volume
26.0%
More than 200,000
$234 volume
23.0%
More than 250,000
$27 volume
9.0%
More than 300,000
$29 volume
6.0%
More than 350,000
$64 volume
3.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many government employees will Trump cut?". More than 50,000 is leading at 93.0%. The next most likely outcome is More than 100,000 at 54.0%. Total volume is $5K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 4, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Mar 4, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.003 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
712h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
712h
Avg Sentiment
-0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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