Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 52
$174K volume
24.0%
—
51
$40K volume
20.0%
—
50
$27K volume
17.0%
—
49
$30K volume
16.0%
—
52
$68K volume
13.0%
—
48
$15K volume
8.0%
—
47
$17K volume
4.0%
—
46
$22K volume
3.0%
—
Live marketEnds Feb 1, 2027 (10mo)Updated 14m ago
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Live prediction market odds for "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?". Above 52 is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is 51 at 20.0%. Total volume is $464K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Feb 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Above 52
24.0%
Total Vol
$464K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?". Above 52 is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is 51 at 20.0%. Total volume is $464K across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Feb 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Feb 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.081 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
179h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
179h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Virginia U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls - The New York Times
The New York Times·2h ago·neutral
Six Senate Races to Watch as Democrats Grow Bullish Ahead of Midterm Elections - The New York Times
The New York Times·1d ago·bullish
Arkansas U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls - The New York Times
The New York Times·1d ago·neutral
Six Senate Races to Watch as Democrats Grow More Bullish
Bing News·2d ago·bullish
Democrats' chances of winning Senate get huge boost in four polls
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
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