Home🏛️PoliticsHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Live marketEnds Mar 31, 2027 (11mo)Updated 14m ago

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

Live prediction market odds for "How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?". At least 50 billion is leading at 13.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 750 billion at 11.0%. Total volume is $185K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2027.

Leading Outcome
At least 50 billion
13.0%
Total Vol
$185K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
At least 50 billion
$9 volume
13.0%
At least 750 billion
$24K volume
11.0%
At least 2 trillion
$18K volume
9.6%
At least 500 billion
$33K volume
6.6%
At least 1 trillion
$23K volume
3.0%
At least 250 billion
$88K volume
2.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?". At least 50 billion is leading at 13.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 750 billion at 11.0%. Total volume is $185K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Mar 31, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.092 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
47h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
47h
Avg Sentiment
-0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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