Home🏛️PoliticsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
Live marketEnds Jan 22, 2029 (2y 292d)Updated 3m ago

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

Live prediction market odds for "How much will the US acquire Greenland for?". 0 / No Acquisition is leading at 82.0%. The next most likely outcome is 600 billion to $899 billion at 6.0%. Total volume is $1.1M across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 22, 2029.

Leading Outcome
0 / No Acquisition
82.0%
Total Vol
$1.1M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
0 / No Acquisition
$485K volume
82.0%
600 billion to $899 billion
$145K volume
6.0%
10 billion to $99 billion
$94K volume
4.0%
100 billion to $299 billion
$68K volume
3.0%
300 billion to $599 billion
$69K volume
3.0%
1 billion to $9 billion
$69K volume
2.0%
1.2 trillion or more
$69K volume
2.0%
900 billion to $1199 billion
$111K volume
2.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How much will the US acquire Greenland for?". 0 / No Acquisition is leading at 82.0%. The next most likely outcome is 600 billion to $899 billion at 6.0%. Total volume is $1.1M across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 22, 2029.

Expected resolution date: Jan 22, 2029.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1158h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1158h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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