Live prediction market odds for "How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?". below 7.80 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is below 7.75 at 95.0%. Total volume is $44K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 17, 2029.
Live prediction market odds for "How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?". below 7.80 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is below 7.75 at 95.0%. Total volume is $44K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 17, 2029.
Expected resolution date: May 17, 2029.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.