Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Tisza 9%+
$171K volume
41.5%
—
Tisza 6-9%
$39K volume
19.5%
—
Tisza 3-6%
$55K volume
11.5%
—
Fidesz-KDNP 9%+
$76K volume
10.5%
—
Tisza 0-3%
$47K volume
5.3%
—
Other
$37K volume
0.4%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 12, 2026 (6d)Updated 3m ago
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Live prediction market odds for "Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory". Tisza 9%+ is leading at 41.5%. The next most likely outcome is Tisza 6-9% at 19.5%. Total volume is $1.5M across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Tisza 9%+
41.5%
Total Vol
$1.5M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory". Tisza 9%+ is leading at 41.5%. The next most likely outcome is Tisza 6-9% at 19.5%. Total volume is $1.5M across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 12, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 31 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
205h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
205h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza) Cotes de paris et prédictions (Apr. 12, 2026) - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
What Happens After Hungary’s Election? Four Scenarios to Watch
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
Hungary elections: what is at stake and who is likely to win?
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
What Are Viktor Orbán’s Real Chances in the Hungarian Election? - Hungarian Conservative
Hungarian Conservative·5d ago·neutral
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