Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Melissa Bean
$36K volume
100.0%
—
Person J
$179 volume
33.1%
—
Person K
$182 volume
3.9%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 17, 2026 (Ended)Updated 18d ago
IL-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "IL-08 Democratic Primary Winner". Melissa Bean is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Person J at 33.1%. Total volume is $153K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Melissa Bean
100.0%
Total Vol
$153K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "IL-08 Democratic Primary Winner". Melissa Bean is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Person J at 33.1%. Total volume is $153K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 17, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
446h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
446h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Illinois Eighth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·1h ago·neutral
Juliana Stratton Wins Bruising Illinois Democratic Senate Primary - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·17d ago·bullish
Melissa Bean likely heading back to Congress after Illinois primary win - Roll Call
Roll Call·18d ago·neutral
Stratton victory boosts Pritzker clout - Politico
Politico·18d ago·neutral
Junaid Ahmed Concedes in IL-8 Democratic Primary, Vows Movement Will Continue - RiverBender.com
RiverBender.com·18d ago·neutral
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