Home🏛️PoliticsIllinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Live marketEnds Mar 17, 2026 (Ended)Updated 18d ago

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Juliana Stratton is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Robin Kelly at 0.1%. Total volume is $393K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Juliana Stratton
100.0%
Total Vol
$393K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Juliana Stratton
$194K volume
100.0%
Robin Kelly
Volume n/a
0.1%
Anthony Williams
Volume n/a
0.1%
Raja Krishnamoorthi
$190K volume
0.1%
Jump Shepherd
Volume n/a
0.1%
Awisi Bustos
Volume n/a
0.1%
Stanley Leavell
Volume n/a
0.1%
Jonathan Dean
Volume n/a
0.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Juliana Stratton is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Robin Kelly at 0.1%. Total volume is $393K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Mar 17, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.002 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
4.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
178h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
178h
Avg Sentiment
+0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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