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Live marketEnds Mar 17, 2026 (Ended)Updated 18d ago

Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner". Don Tracy is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Panagioti Bartzis at 0.1%. Total volume is $626K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Don Tracy
100.0%
Total Vol
$626K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Don Tracy
$436K volume
100.0%
Panagioti Bartzis
$17K volume
0.1%
Jimmy Lee Tillman II
Volume n/a
0.1%
Pamela Denise Long
$19K volume
0.1%
CaSándra Claiborne
$27K volume
0.1%
Lloyd Jones
$27K volume
0.1%
R. Cary Capparelli
$12K volume
0.1%
John Goodman
Volume n/a
0.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner". Don Tracy is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Panagioti Bartzis at 0.1%. Total volume is $626K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 17, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Mar 17, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
420h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
420h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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