Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ethan Corson
$1K volume
67.5%
—
Cindy Holscher
$2K volume
31.5%
—
Marty Tuley
$49K volume
1.1%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 4, 2026 (3mo)Updated 1h ago
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner". Ethan Corson is leading at 67.5%. The next most likely outcome is Cindy Holscher at 31.5%. Total volume is $52K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Ethan Corson
67.5%
Total Vol
$52K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner". Ethan Corson is leading at 67.5%. The next most likely outcome is Cindy Holscher at 31.5%. Total volume is $52K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Aug 4, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1901h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
1901h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Both gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections are happening in 26 states in 2026 - news.ballotpedia.org
news.ballotpedia.org·27d ago·neutral
2026 Primary Election Calendar
Bing News·54d ago·neutral
Kansas GOP candidates for governor toss haymakers in debate, find unity on key issues - Wichita Eagle
Wichita Eagle·66d ago·neutral
Former Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius endorses Sen. Ethan Corson in Democratic race for governor - Kansas Reflector
Kansas Reflector·75d ago·neutral
Millionaire candidates for Kansas governor burnish fundraising with personal loans - Kansas Reflector
Kansas Reflector·77d ago·neutral
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