Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Aug 1, 2026
$390 volume
66.0%
—
Before Jul 1, 2026
$3K volume
54.0%
—
Before Jun 1, 2026
$4K volume
45.0%
—
Before May 1, 2026
$17K volume
22.0%
—
Live marketEnds Aug 1, 2026 (3mo)Updated 8m ago
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Live prediction market odds for "Kash Patel out as FBI Director?". Before Aug 1, 2026 is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 54.0%. Total volume is $25K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Before Aug 1, 2026
66.0%
Total Vol
$25K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Kash Patel out as FBI Director?". Before Aug 1, 2026 is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before Jul 1, 2026 at 54.0%. Total volume is $25K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Aug 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Aug 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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