Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Andy Barr
$10K volume
67.0%
—
Daniel Cameron
$10K volume
19.4%
—
Nate Morris
$8K volume
15.8%
—
Andrew Shelley
$53K volume
0.5%
—
Wende Kennedy
$11K volume
0.3%
—
Mike Faris
$8K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds May 19, 2026 (1mo)Updated 9m ago
Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner". Andy Barr is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is Daniel Cameron at 19.4%. Total volume is $99K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 19, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Andy Barr
67.0%
Total Vol
$99K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner". Andy Barr is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is Daniel Cameron at 19.4%. Total volume is $99K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 19, 2026.
Expected resolution date: May 19, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 9 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
103h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
103h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Poll reveals crowded Kentucky Senate race to replace McConnell - Courthouse News
Courthouse News·3d ago·neutral
Kentucky Senate candidates react to newest FOX 56/Emerson Poll
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Poll reveals crowded Kentucky Senate race to replace McConnell
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Andy Barr Gets Boost in Race To Replace Mitch McConnell—Poll
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
New KY Senate poll: Barr shows lead among GOP, Booker solidifies Dem lead
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
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