Home🏛️PoliticsLouisiana Republican Senate nominee?
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (6mo)Updated 12m ago

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?". Julia Letlow is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is John Fleming at 16.0%. Total volume is $111K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Julia Letlow
66.0%
Total Vol
$111K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Julia Letlow
$37K volume
66.0%
John Fleming
$30K volume
16.0%
Bill Cassidy
$34K volume
13.0%
Julie Emerson
$3K volume
2.0%
Kathy Seiden
$225 volume
1.0%
Blake Miguez
$6K volume
1.0%
Sammy Wyatt
$23 volume
1.0%
Eric Skrmetta
$107 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?". Julia Letlow is leading at 66.0%. The next most likely outcome is John Fleming at 16.0%. Total volume is $111K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

55%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.068 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
16h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
55%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
16h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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