Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊLouisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Live marketEnds May 16, 2027 (1y 39d)Updated 12m ago

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory". Julia Letlow, 6-9% is leading at 15.0%. The next most likely outcome is Julia Letlow, 0-3% at 15.0%. Total volume is $37K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 16, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
15.0%
Total Vol
$37K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
$3K volume
15.0%
β€”
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
$2K volume
15.0%
β€”
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
$2K volume
14.0%
β€”
Julia Letlow, 9%+
$2K volume
12.0%
β€”
John Fleming, 0-3%
Volume n/a
5.0%
β€”
John Fleming, 3-6%
Volume n/a
3.5%
β€”
John Fleming, 9%+
Volume n/a
2.5%
β€”
John Fleming, 6-9%
Volume n/a
2.5%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory". Julia Letlow, 6-9% is leading at 15.0%. The next most likely outcome is Julia Letlow, 0-3% at 15.0%. Total volume is $37K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 16, 2027.

Expected resolution date: May 16, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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