Home🏛️PoliticsMichigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 4m ago

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?". Mallory McMorrow is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 27.0%. Total volume is $220K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Mallory McMorrow
58.0%
Total Vol
$220K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Mallory McMorrow
$75K volume
58.0%
Abdul El-Sayed
$85K volume
27.0%
Haley Stevens
$59K volume
22.0%
Sarah Anthony
$2 volume
1.0%
Dana Nessel
$678 volume
1.0%
Rashida Tlaib
$364 volume
1.0%
Matt Sahr
$6 volume
1.0%
Andy Levin
$6 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?". Mallory McMorrow is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 27.0%. Total volume is $220K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.106 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
94h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
94h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories