Home🏛️PoliticsMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Live marketEnds Aug 4, 2026 (3mo)Updated 9m ago

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Mallory McMorrow is leading at 53.0%. The next most likely outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 31.5%. Total volume is $382K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Mallory McMorrow
53.0%
Total Vol
$382K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Mallory McMorrow
$29K volume
53.0%
Abdul El-Sayed
$84K volume
31.5%
Haley Stevens
$20K volume
15.0%
Dana Nessel
$16K volume
0.4%
Sarah Anthony
$15K volume
0.3%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
$110K volume
0.3%
Rashida Tlaib
$33K volume
0.3%
Matt Sahr
$57K volume
0.2%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Mallory McMorrow is leading at 53.0%. The next most likely outcome is Abdul El-Sayed at 31.5%. Total volume is $382K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 4, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 4, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

61%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.150 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
61%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
61%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
119h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
61%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
119h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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