Home🏛️PoliticsMichigan Republican Governor nominee?
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (7mo)Updated 8m ago

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Republican Governor nominee?". Perry Johnson is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is John James at 41.0%. Total volume is $122K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Perry Johnson
49.0%
Total Vol
$122K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Perry Johnson
$67K volume
49.0%
John James
$44K volume
41.0%
Aric Nesbitt
$6K volume
12.0%
Kevin Rinke
$625 volume
3.0%
Mike Rogers
$774 volume
3.0%
Mike Cox
$2K volume
2.0%
Tom Leonard
$103 volume
2.0%
Peter Meijer
$44 volume
2.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Michigan Republican Governor nominee?". Perry Johnson is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is John James at 41.0%. Total volume is $122K across 15 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.037 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
147h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
147h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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