Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$219K volume
36.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 30, 2026 (2mo)Updated 11m ago
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Live prediction market odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?". Yes is leading at 36.0%. Total volume is $219K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
36.0%
Total Vol
$219K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?". Yes is leading at 36.0%. Total volume is $219K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
380h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
380h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Exclusive: Cuba’s president vows to "fight" if US launches military action
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
Exclusive: Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel's Full Interview With Newsweek
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
Who is Ana de Armas' ex-boyfriend? All about Manuel Anido Cuesta, the stepson of the president of Cuba - MSN
MSN·2d ago·neutral
JJo - Polymarket
Polymarket·14d ago·neutral
As US pressure grows for leadership change in Cuba, a Castro could be the next president
Bing News·15d ago·neutral
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