Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊMinnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Live marketEnds Aug 11, 2026 (4mo)Updated 11m ago

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner". Michele Tafoya is leading at 78.0%. The next most likely outcome is Adam Schwarze at 15.2%. Total volume is $62K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 11, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Michele Tafoya
78.0%
Total Vol
$62K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Michele Tafoya
$2K volume
78.0%
β€”
Adam Schwarze
Volume n/a
15.2%
β€”
Raymond Petersen
Volume n/a
6.8%
β€”
Mike Ruoho
Volume n/a
6.7%
β€”
Royce White
$31K volume
3.1%
β€”
Jim Nash
$2K volume
2.0%
β€”
Christopher Brooks
$1K volume
1.8%
β€”
Alycia Gruenhagen
Volume n/a
1.4%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner". Michele Tafoya is leading at 78.0%. The next most likely outcome is Adam Schwarze at 15.2%. Total volume is $62K across 12 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Aug 11, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Aug 11, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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