Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Republican Party
$30K volume
92.5%
—
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2026 (6mo)Updated 2m ago
MS-01 House Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for "MS-01 House Election Winner". Republican Party is leading at 92.5%. Total volume is $44K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Republican Party
92.5%
Total Vol
$44K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "MS-01 House Election Winner". Republican Party is leading at 92.5%. Total volume is $44K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
64%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.197 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 19 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
64%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
64%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
681h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
64%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
681h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Democrat Emily Gregory Wins Florida Special Election in Mar-a-Lago’s District - The New York Times
The New York Times·15d ago·bullish
Mississippi First Congressional District Primary 2026: Live Election Results, Buck vs. Johnson - The New York Times
The New York Times·18d ago·neutral
Mississippi Primary Election Results - The New York Times
The New York Times·18d ago·neutral
Hyde-Smith and Ezell roll to big wins in MS primaries, one race too close to call - Sun Herald
Sun Herald·27d ago·bullish
Mississippi primary election results: Latest on House and Senate races
Bing News·28d ago·neutral
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