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Live marketEnds Jan 3, 2027 (9mo)Updated 9m ago

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Live prediction market odds for "Next Senate Majority Leader?". John Thune is leading at 37.0%. The next most likely outcome is Chuck Schumer at 24.5%. Total volume is $33K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 3, 2027.

Leading Outcome
John Thune
37.0%
Total Vol
$33K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
John Thune
$303 volume
37.0%
Chuck Schumer
$3K volume
24.5%
Brian Schatz
$844 volume
14.5%
John Barrasso
$301 volume
6.0%
Lindsey Graham
$8K volume
5.5%
Cory Booker
$527 volume
5.0%
Steve Daines
$18K volume
4.0%
Mark Kelly
$629 volume
3.8%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Next Senate Majority Leader?". John Thune is leading at 37.0%. The next most likely outcome is Chuck Schumer at 24.5%. Total volume is $33K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 3, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 3, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
349h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
349h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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