Homeβ€ΊπŸ›οΈPoliticsβ€ΊNext UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 3m ago

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?". No Next PM in 2026 is leading at 47.5%. The next most likely outcome is Angela Rayner at 18.5%. Total volume is $4.3M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
No Next PM in 2026
47.5%
Total Vol
$4.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
No Next PM in 2026
$161K volume
47.5%
β€”
Angela Rayner
$263K volume
18.5%
β€”
Ed Miliband
$181K volume
5.7%
β€”
Wes Streeting
$63K volume
4.5%
β€”
Rupert Lowe
$574K volume
3.0%
β€”
Andy Burnham
$294K volume
2.9%
β€”
Nigel Farage
$659K volume
2.8%
β€”
Shabana Mahmood
$203K volume
1.1%
β€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?". No Next PM in 2026 is leading at 47.5%. The next most likely outcome is Angela Rayner at 18.5%. Total volume is $4.3M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score β€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown Β· Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A Β· Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B Β· Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C Β· Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
β€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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