Live prediction market odds for "NY-12 Democratic nominee?". Micah Lasher is leading at 43.0%. The next most likely outcome is Alex Bores at 36.0%. Total volume is $231K across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Live prediction market odds for "NY-12 Democratic nominee?". Micah Lasher is leading at 43.0%. The next most likely outcome is Alex Bores at 36.0%. Total volume is $231K across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2026.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
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Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.