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Live marketEnds Jun 23, 2026 (2mo)Updated 9m ago

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner". Micah Lasher is leading at 50.5%. The next most likely outcome is Alex Bores at 24.0%. Total volume is $106K across 19 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 23, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Micah Lasher
50.5%
Total Vol
$106K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Micah Lasher
$5K volume
50.5%
Alex Bores
$3K volume
24.0%
Jack Schlossberg
$6K volume
18.5%
Erik Bottcher
$2K volume
5.3%
George Conway
$1K volume
3.9%
Liz Krueger
$37K volume
1.1%
Julie Menin
$23K volume
1.1%
Lina Khan
$2K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner". Micah Lasher is leading at 50.5%. The next most likely outcome is Alex Bores at 24.0%. Total volume is $106K across 19 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 23, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jun 23, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.004 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
615h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
615h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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