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Live marketEnds Jun 23, 2026 (2mo)Updated 11m ago

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Live prediction market odds for "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner". Cait Conley is leading at 52.5%. The next most likely outcome is Beth Davidson at 16.5%. Total volume is $54K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 23, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Cait Conley
52.5%
Total Vol
$54K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Cait Conley
$26K volume
52.5%
Beth Davidson
$22K volume
16.5%
Effie Phillips-Staley
$807 volume
13.8%
Peter Chatzky
$3K volume
12.7%
John Cappello
$656 volume
3.5%
Mike Sacks
$840 volume
1.1%
John Sullivan
$1K volume
0.9%
Jessica Reinmann
$719 volume
0.9%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner". Cait Conley is leading at 52.5%. The next most likely outcome is Beth Davidson at 16.5%. Total volume is $54K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 23, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jun 23, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.023 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
582h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
582h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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