Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Bob Brooks
$4K volume
74.0%
—
Ryan Crosswell
$8K volume
21.0%
—
Carol Obando-Derstine
$950 volume
5.0%
—
Lamont McClure
$2K volume
4.0%
—
Mark Pinsley
$87 volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds May 19, 2027 (1y 43d)Updated 3m ago
PA-07 Democratic nominee?
Live prediction market odds for "PA-07 Democratic nominee?". Bob Brooks is leading at 74.0%. The next most likely outcome is Ryan Crosswell at 21.0%. Total volume is $15K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 19, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Bob Brooks
74.0%
Total Vol
$15K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "PA-07 Democratic nominee?". Bob Brooks is leading at 74.0%. The next most likely outcome is Ryan Crosswell at 21.0%. Total volume is $15K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 19, 2027.
Expected resolution date: May 19, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
653h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
653h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Four Democrats vying for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional seat debate in Bethlehem - WFMZ.com
WFMZ.com·4d ago·neutral
New Polling Shows Trump, Mackenzie, Perry Underwater in Keystone State - PoliticsPA
PoliticsPA·6d ago·neutral
Four candidates running in Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District - Ballotpedia News
Ballotpedia News·13d ago·neutral
Four Democrats compete in 7th Congressional District, facing off in May primary - WFMZ.com
WFMZ.com·25d ago·neutral
Janelle Stelson and Justin Douglas file to run for Democratic nomination in race for Pa.'s 10th district
Bing News·26d ago·neutral
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