Home🏛️PoliticsPeru presidential election: first round second place?
Live marketEnds Mar 25, 2027 (11mo)Updated 9m ago

Peru presidential election: first round second place?

Live prediction market odds for "Peru presidential election: first round second place?". Keiko Fujimori is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is Rafael López Aliaga at 21.0%. Total volume is $6K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 25, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Keiko Fujimori
24.0%
Total Vol
$6K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Keiko Fujimori
$2K volume
24.0%
Rafael López Aliaga
$2K volume
21.0%
Alfonso López Chau
$569 volume
18.0%
Carlos Álvarez
$684 volume
16.0%
Jorge Nieto
$68 volume
4.0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$539 volume
4.0%
Wolfgang Grozo
$151 volume
2.0%
George Forsyth
Volume n/a
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Peru presidential election: first round second place?". Keiko Fujimori is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is Rafael López Aliaga at 21.0%. Total volume is $6K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 25, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Mar 25, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 6 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
154h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
154h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Politics Markets

Explore Other Categories