Home🏛️PoliticsPeru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Live marketEnds Apr 12, 2026 (5d)Updated 9m ago

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner". Keiko Fujimori is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Carlos Álvarez at 15.4%. Total volume is $139K across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Keiko Fujimori
54.0%
Total Vol
$139K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Keiko Fujimori
$17K volume
54.0%
Carlos Álvarez
$9K volume
15.4%
Rafael López Aliaga
$20K volume
14.0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$18K volume
8.7%
Ricardo Belmont
$9K volume
6.1%
Alfonso López Chau
$6K volume
2.0%
Jorge Nieto
$18K volume
1.6%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$4K volume
0.6%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner". Keiko Fujimori is leading at 54.0%. The next most likely outcome is Carlos Álvarez at 15.4%. Total volume is $139K across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 12, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 9 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
157h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
157h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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