Home🏛️PoliticsPeru Presidential Election Winner
Live marketEnds Apr 12, 2026 (6d)Updated 4m ago

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Live prediction market odds for "Peru Presidential Election Winner". Carlos Álvarez is leading at 28.3%. The next most likely outcome is Keiko Fujimori at 25.5%. Total volume is $6.5M across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Carlos Álvarez
28.3%
Total Vol
$6.5M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Carlos Álvarez
$279K volume
28.3%
Keiko Fujimori
$349K volume
25.5%
Rafael López Aliaga
$886K volume
13.5%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$490K volume
13.3%
Ricardo Belmont
$383K volume
11.4%
Jorge Nieto
$844K volume
3.0%
Alfonso López Chau
$378K volume
2.8%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$293K volume
1.1%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Peru Presidential Election Winner". Carlos Álvarez is leading at 28.3%. The next most likely outcome is Keiko Fujimori at 25.5%. Total volume is $6.5M across 23 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 12, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 12, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 14 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
46h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
46h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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