Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Aaron Guckian
$2K volume
58.0%
—
Elaine Pelino
$3K volume
40.0%
—
Robert Raimondo
$2K volume
7.0%
—
Live marketEnds Sep 8, 2027 (1y 155d)Updated 11m ago
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
Live prediction market odds for "Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?". Aaron Guckian is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Elaine Pelino at 40.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 8, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Aaron Guckian
58.0%
Total Vol
$7K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?". Aaron Guckian is leading at 58.0%. The next most likely outcome is Elaine Pelino at 40.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 8, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Sep 8, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
548h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
548h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
He investigated voter fraud for Trump. Now he's running for RI governor.
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
Ken Block is running for governor again. This time as an independent.
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Ken Block announces 2026 run for RI governor
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Businessman Ken Block will run for R.I. governor again, this time as an independent
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Six Gubernatorial Rating Changes in Favor of Democrats, but Republicans May Still Come Out Ahead - The Center for Politics at UVA
The Center for Politics at UVA·17d ago·neutral
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