Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ken Paxton
$4.1M volume
64.5%
—
John Cornyn
$3.1M volume
32.0%
—
Wesley Hunt
$1.7M volume
0.1%
—
Dawn Buckingham
$907K volume
0.1%
—
Beth Van Duyne
$5.3M volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds May 26, 2026 (1mo)Updated 10m ago
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner". Ken Paxton is leading at 64.5%. The next most likely outcome is John Cornyn at 32.0%. Total volume is $15.1M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 26, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Ken Paxton
64.5%
Total Vol
$15.1M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner". Ken Paxton is leading at 64.5%. The next most likely outcome is John Cornyn at 32.0%. Total volume is $15.1M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by May 26, 2026.
Expected resolution date: May 26, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
92h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
92h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
US primaries: Texas braces for epic Senate race in November - Euronews.com
Euronews.com·2d ago·neutral
Texas Primary Election Results - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·2d ago·neutral
Texas U.S. Senate Primary Election Results - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·2d ago·neutral
K Street: Democrats likely to win the House - Punchbowl News
Punchbowl News·2d ago·neutral
GOP Rep. Brandon Gill backs Paxton in Texas Senate race: 'Senate needs serious change'
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
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