Home🏛️PoliticsTexas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?
Live marketEnds May 26, 2026 (1mo)Updated 12m ago

Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?

Live prediction market odds for "Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?". Donald Trump → No one is leading at 57.0%. The next most likely outcome is Donald Trump → Ken Paxton at 45.0%. Total volume is $139K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 26, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Donald Trump → No one
57.0%
Total Vol
$139K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Donald Trump → No one
$11K volume
57.0%
Donald Trump → Ken Paxton
$29K volume
45.0%
Greg Abbott → John Cornyn
$6K volume
39.0%
Wesley Hunt → Ken Paxton
$2K volume
22.0%
Wesley Hunt → John Cornyn
$9K volume
21.0%
Donald Trump → John Cornyn
$70K volume
20.0%
Donald Trump → John Cornyn AND Ken Paxton
$11K volume
10.0%
Greg Abbott → Ken Paxton
$797 volume
9.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?". Donald Trump → No one is leading at 57.0%. The next most likely outcome is Donald Trump → Ken Paxton at 45.0%. Total volume is $139K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 26, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 26, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
204h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
204h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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