Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
June 30
$1.2M volume
68.5%
—
April 30
$2.6M volume
31.5%
—
April 15
$1.8M volume
12.5%
—
April 7
$1.7M volume
2.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)Updated 10m ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Live prediction market odds for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?". June 30 is leading at 68.5%. The next most likely outcome is April 30 at 31.5%. Total volume is $12.6M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
June 30
68.5%
Total Vol
$12.6M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?". June 30 is leading at 68.5%. The next most likely outcome is April 30 at 31.5%. Total volume is $12.6M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
98h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
98h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
When will the Iran war end? Tracing the Trump administration's timelines - BBC
BBC·2d ago·neutral
Trump Says U.S. Military Campaign to Wind Down and Plans National Address - The New York Times
The New York Times·3d ago·neutral
Takeaways from Trump's address: No end date for Iran war, no direct criticism of NATO - KOAT
KOAT·3d ago·neutral
When Will Trump Announce End of Military Operations in Iran? - Action Network
Action Network·3d ago·neutral
Trump announces ending Iran war within 2 to 3 weeks - The Indian Awaaz
The Indian Awaaz·3d ago·neutral
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